Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 4:24·TB 6, CAR 3

   (4:24) 21-K.Vaughn left tackle for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q2 · 1:41·TB 13, CAR 6

   (1:41) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 15-C.Grayson to CAR 7 for 62 yards (28-K.Taylor). Penalty on CAR-28-K.Taylor, Illegal Contact, declined.

   +12pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q2 · 10:14·TB 10, CAR 3

   (10:14) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 12-S.Smith pushed ob at TB 10 for 63 yards (35-J.Dean).

   +11pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q1 · 1:48·TB 7, CAR 3

   (1:48) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left intended for 12-S.Smith INTERCEPTED by 33-J.Whitehead (58-S.Barrett) at TB 42. 33-J.Whitehead to TB 49 for 7 yards (12-S.Smith).

   +11pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q2 · 15:00·TB 7, CAR 3

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 81-A.Brown to CAR 35 for 19 yards (9-S.Gilmore).

   +11pp

   TAM