Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 7:53·TB 26, CAR 17

   (7:53) 27-R.Jones up the middle for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +21pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q3 · 12:43·TB 17, CAR 17

   (12:43) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 14-C.Godwin pushed ob at CAR 23 for 31 yards (33-T.Boston). CAR-42-S.Franklin was injured during the play. His return is Probable.

   +13pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q1 · 12:36·TB 0, CAR 0

   (12:36) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 27-R.Jones to TB 32 for 6 yards (54-S.Thompson). FUMBLES (54-S.Thompson), RECOVERED by CAR-33-T.Boston at TB 33.

   +11pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q2 · 1:53·TB 10, CAR 17

   (1:53) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 87-R.Gronkowski to CAR 4 for 44 yards (25-T.Pride).

   +11pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q3 · 7:39·TB 26, CAR 17

   (7:39) 5-T.Bridgewater pass short right intended for 12-D.Moore INTERCEPTED by 90-J.Pierre-Paul [58-S.Barrett] at CAR 38. 90-J.Pierre-Paul to CAR 38 for no gain (12-D.Moore).

   +9pp

   TAM