Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 4:58·CAR 7, TB 3

   (4:58) 14-S.Darnold up the middle to TB 2 for no gain (96-S.McLendon). Carolina challenged the short of the line to gain ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #3.)

   +13pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q2 · 1:22·CAR 7, TB 3

   (1:22) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 13-M.Evans to TB 45 for 37 yards (38-M.Hartsfield; 49-F.Luvu).

   +11pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q2 · 8:46·CAR 7, TB 3

   (8:46) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 20-A.Abdullah to TB 22 for 18 yards (32-M.Edwards, 9-J.Tryon).

   +10pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q2 · 12:21·CAR 7, TB 0

   (12:21) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 13-M.Evans to CAR 28 for 14 yards (27-K.Robinson). CAR-29-R.Melvin was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.

   +9pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q1 · 14:16·CAR 0, TB 0

   (14:16) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 2-Dj.Moore to CAR 48 for 20 yards (31-A.Winfield).

   +8pp

   CAR