Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 6:53·CAR 21, TB 22

   (6:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 13-M.Evans for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +24pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:32·CAR 21, TB 24

   (2:32) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold sacked at CAR 3 for -10 yards (98-A.Nelson). FUMBLES (98-A.Nelson) [98-A.Nelson], RECOVERED by TB-50-V.Vea at CAR 6.

   +19pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q4 · 13:58·CAR 21, TB 16

   (13:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 13-M.Evans for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q2 · 2:04·CAR 14, TB 7

   (2:04) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold FUMBLES (Aborted) at CAR 22, touched at CAR 20, RECOVERED by TB-45-D.White at CAR 17. 45-D.White to CAR 13 for 4 yards (79-I.Ekwonu; 72-T.Moton).

   +14pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q3 · 3:43·CAR 14, TB 10

   (3:43) 3-R.Succop 26 yard field goal is BLOCKED (97-Y.Gross-Matos), Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda, RECOVERED by CAR-95-D.Brown at CAR 9.

   +14pp

   CAR