Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:03·BUF 23, BAL 20

   (:03) 2-T.Bass 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.

   +18pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 7:05·BUF 20, BAL 20

   (7:05) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson scrambles up the middle to BUF 10 for 18 yards (58-M.Milano).

   +15pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q4 · 4:15·BUF 20, BAL 20

   (4:15) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right intended for 13-D.Duvernay INTERCEPTED by 21-J.Poyer at BUF -6. Touchback.

   +15pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q4 · 15:00·BUF 20, BAL 20

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle intended for 89-M.Andrews INTERCEPTED by 21-J.Poyer (94-P.Emili) at 50. 21-J.Poyer to 50 for no gain (8-L.Jackson).

   +13pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q1 · 14:23·BUF 0, BAL 0

   (14:23) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left intended for 88-D.Knox INTERCEPTED by 44-M.Humphrey (93-C.Campbell) at BUF 34. 44-M.Humphrey pushed ob at BUF 8 for 26 yards (60-M.Morse; 26-D.Singletary). PENALTY on BUF-73-D.Dawkins, Face Mask, 4 yards, enforced at BUF 8.

   +12pp

   BAL