Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   ·BAL 7, BUF 20

   End of half - 2.39 pm

   +84pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:03·BAL 7, BUF 20

   (:03) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep right to 17-T.Doss to BUF 30 for 24 yards (37-N.Robey, 50-K.Alonso). Caught in flat at BUF 37, slanting to middle.

   +83pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:04·BAL 20, BUF 23

   (1:04) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle intended for 87-D.Clark INTERCEPTED by 50-K.Alonso (25-D.Searcy) at BUF 36. 50-K.Alonso to BUF 36 for no gain (87-D.Clark). Pass tipped prior to INT. The Replay Assistant challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +26pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q4 · 5:43·BAL 17, BUF 23

   (5:43) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep right to 83-D.Thompson to BUF 23 for 33 yards (35-J.Leonhard; 29-B.Burton). Caught near sideline at BUF 23. PENALTY on BUF-35-J.Leonhard, Unnecessary Roughness, 12 yards, enforced at BUF 23.

   +20pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q3 · 5:01·BAL 14, BUF 20

   (5:01) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle intended for 14-M.Brown INTERCEPTED by 50-K.Alonso at BUF 46. 50-K.Alonso to BAL 48 for 6 yards (73-M.Yanda).

   +14pp

   BUF