Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 10:22·BUF 0, BAL 9

   (10:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 17-M.Wallace for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q1 · 7:05·BUF 0, BAL 0

   (7:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco FUMBLES (Aborted) at BAL 47, RECOVERED by BUF-52-P.Brown at BAL 47. 52-P.Brown to BAL 47 for no gain (5-J.Flacco).

   +12pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q2 · 3:06·BUF 6, BAL 10

   (3:06) 25-L.McCoy left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. No. 82 Jim Dray (BUF) injured on play.

   +11pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 0:46·BUF 7, BAL 10

   (:46) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 28-T.West pushed ob at BUF 42 for no gain (55-J.Hughes).

   +10pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q3 · 10:53·BUF 7, BAL 10

   (10:53) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor scrambles left end ran ob at BAL 31 for 6 yards. PENALTY on BAL-22-J.Smith, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 31.

   +9pp

   BUF