Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:05·BAL 24, BUF 17

   (2:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep middle to 10-C.Beasley [98-B.Williams]. BAL-53-J.Ward was injured during the play. Overthrown, receiver at BAL 18. J.Ward walks off. PENALTY on BAL-44-M.Humphrey, Defensive Pass Interference, 26 yards, enforced at BAL 44 - No Play.

   +19pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q3 · 13:44·BAL 16, BUF 6

   (13:44) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 81-H.Hurst for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-J.Hughes]. Flag pattern, caught at BUF 41.

   +14pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q1 · 1:03·BAL 3, BUF 0

   (1:03) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at BUF 26 for -7 yards (99-M.Judon). FUMBLES (99-M.Judon) [99-M.Judon], RECOVERED by BAL-53-J.Ward at BUF 26. 53-J.Ward to BUF 24 for 2 yards (67-Q.Spain).

   +11pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:08·BAL 24, BUF 17

   (1:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short middle to 15-J.Brown (24-M.Peters). Receiver and coverage at BAL 1, crossing from right.

   +11pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q2 · 6:43·BAL 10, BUF 3

   (6:43) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right intended for 83-W.Snead IV INTERCEPTED by 49-T.Edmunds [90-S.Lawson] at BAL 46. 49-T.Edmunds to BAL 46 for no gain (83-W.Snead IV).

   +11pp

   BUF