Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q5 · 7:26·BAL 20, NE 20

   (7:26) 14-Z.Mesko punts 65 yards to BAL 19, Center-47-J.Ingram, downed by NE-18-M.Slater.

   +39pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q5 · 5:27·BAL 20, NE 20

   (5:27) 4-S.Koch punts 45 yards to NE 36, Center-46-M.Cox. 83-W.Welker to NE 38 for 2 yards (29-C.Williams).

   +35pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q5 · 8:11·BAL 20, NE 20

   (8:11) 4-S.Koch punts 36 yards to NE 12, Center-46-M.Cox, fair catch by 83-W.Welker.

   +26pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:04·BAL 20, NE 20

   (:04) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle intended for 19-B.Tate INTERCEPTED by 22-K.Hamlin at BAL -4. Touchback.

   +20pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q5 · 12:23·BAL 20, NE 20

   (12:23) 14-Z.Mesko punts 40 yards to BAL 28, Center-47-J.Ingram. 25-C.Carr to BAL 37 for 9 yards (42-B.Green-Ellis). bobbled snap PENALTY on BAL-29-C.Williams, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 27.

   +19pp

   NWE