Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 5:26·NYJ 10, BUF 3

   (5:26) 5-M.Barkley pass short right intended for 22-T.Yeldon INTERCEPTED by 23-A.Maulet at NYJ 45. 23-A.Maulet to BUF 42 for 13 yards (61-S.Long).

   +14pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q4 · 13:34·NYJ 9, BUF 3

   (13:34) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short middle to 82-J.Crowder for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 6 yds. into end zone, crossing from middle.

   +12pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q3 · 3:37·NYJ 3, BUF 0

   (3:37) (Shotgun) 5-M.Barkley pass short middle to 89-T.Sweeney to NYJ 11 for 17 yards (20-M.Maye). Caught at NYJ 16, slanting from right.

   +12pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 4:52·NYJ 3, BUF 0

   (4:52) (Shotgun) 5-M.Barkley pass short left to 19-I.McKenzie to NYJ 26 for 12 yards (34-B.Poole). Caught along sideline at NYJ 26.

   +10pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q1 · 8:39·NYJ 0, BUF 0

   (8:39) 9-S.Ficken 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-4-L.Edwards.

   +9pp

   BUF