Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:08·BUF 17, NYJ 16

   (:08) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 11-Ro.Anderson to NYJ 33 for 8 yards. Lateral to 81-Q.Enunwa to NYJ 35 for 2 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by BUF-93-T.Murphy at NYJ 21. 93-T.Murphy to NYJ 18 for 3 yards (11-Ro.Anderson).

   +28pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 3:07·BUF 16, NYJ 16

   (3:07) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 15-J.Brown for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN [92-L.Williams]. Penalty on NYJ-27-D.Roberts, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

   +27pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:17·BUF 17, NYJ 16

   (1:17) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete deep right to 82-J.Crowder (55-J.Hughes). Penalty on NYJ-68-K.Beachum, Offensive Holding, declined.

   +25pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q1 · 12:11·BUF 0, NYJ 0

   (12:11) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at NYJ 33 for -7 yards (48-J.Jenkins). FUMBLES (48-J.Jenkins) [48-J.Jenkins], RECOVERED by NYJ-99-S.McLendon at NYJ 38. 99-S.McLendon to NYJ 38 for no gain (76-J.Feliciano).

   +17pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q1 · 10:42·BUF 0, NYJ 6

   (10:42) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle intended for 10-C.Beasley INTERCEPTED by 57-C.Mosley at BUF 17. 57-C.Mosley for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   NYJ