Back Judge· also: AL
Gregory Steed
Scoring
How high or low his games runSlight Under lean: games trend a bit lower-scoring than the market expects.
% Games Over the Total
45%
-3.4ppleague 49% · 65 priced games
Avg Total Points
46.1
+0.5league 45.6 · both teams combined
Spread Outcomes
Who covers the line in his gamesHome teams cover well above the league rate: measurable home tilt.
Favorites Cover %
51%
+1.9ppleague 49% · 65 priced games
Home Teams Cover %
59%
+9.7ppleague 49% · home-vs-road tilt
Penalties & Pace
How the crew calls + paces the gameAverage penalty + pace signals overall. Flags hit the road team noticeably more.
Penalties / Game
13.8
+1.2league 12.6 · both teams combined
Plays / Game
122.7
+1.1league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts
Penalty Yards / Game
121
+15league 106
Penalties: home vs road
Road team gets flagged 0.5 more times than the home team (vs league -0.4).
Recent Games Worked
- Dec 29, 2019NYJ@BUF13–6Spread BUF -1Total 36Penalties 7 (53 yd)19dogunder7 (53 yd)
- Dec 22, 2019ARI@SEA27–13Spread SEA -9Total 51.5Penalties 12 (102 yd)40dogunder12 (102 yd)
- Dec 5, 2019DAL@CHI24–31Spread DAL -3Total 43Penalties 10 (82 yd)55dogover10 (82 yd)
- Dec 1, 2019LAC@DEN20–23Spread LAC -4.5Total 38.5Penalties 10 (107 yd)43dogover10 (107 yd)
- Nov 24, 2019MIA@CLE24–41Spread CLE -10.5Total 45.5Penalties 15 (164 yd)65favover15 (164 yd)
- Nov 17, 2019NOR@TAM34–17Spread NOR -6Total 51Penalties 16 (131 yd)51favpush16 (131 yd)
- Oct 31, 2019SFO@ARI28–25Spread SFO -10.5Total 43.5Penalties 17 (140 yd)53dogover17 (140 yd)
- Oct 27, 2019LAC@CHI17–16Spread CHI -3.5Total 40.5Penalties 13 (95 yd)33dogunder13 (95 yd)
- Oct 20, 2019MIN@DET42–30Spread MIN -2.5Total 44Penalties 14 (127 yd)72favover14 (127 yd)
- Oct 13, 2019DAL@NYJ22–24Spread DAL -7.5Total 44.5Penalties 17 (173 yd)46dogover17 (173 yd)
FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH
Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.