Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 1:03·BUF 7, NYJ 10

   (1:03) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short right to 87-J.Matthews to NYJ 31 for 6 yards (32-J.Burris). FUMBLES (32-J.Burris), RECOVERED by NYJ-32-J.Burris at NYJ 31. 32-J.Burris to NYJ 31 for no gain (87-J.Matthews). The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed.

   +13pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q2 · 1:24·BUF 7, NYJ 10

   (1:24) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short middle to 18-A.Holmes to NYJ 40 for 16 yards (26-M.Maye).

   +12pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q2 · 14:57·BUF 6, NYJ 7

   (14:57) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short middle to 11-Z.Jones for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 12:21·BUF 7, NYJ 7

   (12:21) (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass short left to 88-A.Seferian-Jenkins pushed ob at BUF 41 for 18 yards (23-M.Hyde) [90-S.Lawson]. PENALTY on BUF-90-S.Lawson, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at BUF 41.

   +12pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q3 · 9:56·BUF 7, NYJ 16

   (9:56) 15-J.McCown pass deep right to 11-R.Anderson for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   NYJ