Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 0:36·NYJ 13, BUF 17

   (:36) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 11-Z.Jones to NYJ 31 for 5 yards (21-M.Claiborne) [92-L.Williams]. Caught near sideline at NYJ 31.

   +36pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   ·NYJ 13, BUF 17

   End of half - 2.35 pm

   +31pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:22·NYJ 26, BUF 23

   (1:22) 25-E.McGuire right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +23pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:54·NYJ 20, BUF 23

   (1:54) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 11-R.Anderson pushed ob at BUF 5 for 37 yards (27-T.White). Caught along sideline at BUF 5. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed.

   +19pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:07·NYJ 27, BUF 23

   (1:07) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right intended for 11-Z.Jones INTERCEPTED by 22-T.Johnson at BUF 45. 22-T.Johnson to BUF 45 for no gain (11-Z.Jones). Receiver and coverage near sideline.

   +16pp

   NYJ