Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 2:06·NYJ 12, BUF 14

   (2:06) 15-J.McCown up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q1 · 9:02·NYJ 0, BUF 0

   (9:02) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short left intended for 85-C.Clay INTERCEPTED by 32-J.Burris at NYJ -6. 32-J.Burris to NYJ 42 for 48 yards (70-E.Wood). Pass through receiver's hands at BUF 1. PENALTY on NYJ-58-D.Lee, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at NYJ 42.

   +14pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q3 · 7:22·NYJ 6, BUF 7

   (7:22) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor scrambles left end pushed ob at NYJ 1 for 14 yards (56-D.Davis).

   +9pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 8:36·NYJ 6, BUF 7

   (8:36) 5-T.Taylor pass short middle to 87-J.Matthews pushed ob at NYJ 17 for 47 yards (26-M.Maye). Caught at BUF 43, crossing from right.

   +9pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q1 · 1:22·NYJ 0, BUF 0

   (1:22) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short middle to 87-J.Matthews to BUF 36 for 14 yards (58-D.Lee, 56-D.Davis). Button-hook, caught at BUF 34.

   +8pp

   BUF