Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 14:02·BUF 0, NYJ 0

   (14:02) 79-B.Qvale reported in as eligible. 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 81-Q.Enunwa to BUF 24 for 51 yards (20-C.Graham).

   +12pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q1 · 1:51·BUF 0, NYJ 0

   (1:51) 79-B.Qvale and 64-C.Watts reported in as eligible. 29-B.Powell up the middle to BUF 14 for no gain (52-P.Brown).

   +9pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q3 · 7:41·BUF 3, NYJ 10

   (7:41) (Shotgun) 29-B.Powell left guard to BUF 11 for -1 yards (99-M.Dareus; 52-P.Brown).

   +9pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 14:13·BUF 0, NYJ 0

   (14:13) 6-C.Schmidt punts 49 yards to NYJ 27, Center-65-G.Sanborn. 89-J.Marshall to NYJ 25 for -2 yards (57-L.Alexander).

   +7pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q3 · 5:37·BUF 3, NYJ 10

   (5:37) (Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel sacked at BUF 14 for -12 yards (44-C.Lemonier). New York Jets challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel sacked at BUF 15 for -11 yards (48-Jo.Jenkins). FUMBLES (48-Jo.Jenkins) [44-C.Lemonier], RECOVERED by NYJ-48-Jo.Jenkins at BUF 14.

   +7pp

   NYJ