Down Judge· also: Line Judge
Mike Carr
Scoring
How high or low his games runSlight Over lean: games trend a bit higher-scoring than the market expects.
% Games Over the Total
52%
+3.6ppleague 49% · 88 priced games
Avg Total Points
46.6
+1.0league 45.6 · both teams combined
Spread Outcomes
Who covers the line in his gamesMild lean visible in spread outcomes: interesting context, not a green-light edge.
Favorites Cover %
49%
+0.5ppleague 49% · 88 priced games
Home Teams Cover %
44%
-5.1ppleague 49% · home-vs-road tilt
Penalties & Pace
How the crew calls + paces the gameAverage penalty and pace signals: no tendency stands out.
Penalties / Game
12.7
league 12.6 · both teams combined
Plays / Game
120.7
-0.9league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts
Penalty Yards / Game
107
+1.0league 106
Penalties: home vs road
Flags split roughly evenly between home and road.
Recent Games Worked
- Jan 8, 2023NYG@PHI16–22Spread PHI -16.5Total 42.5Penalties 12 (96 yd)38dogunder12 (96 yd)
- Jan 1, 2023MIN@GNB17–41Spread GNB -3.5Total 47.5Penalties 9 (65 yd)58favover9 (65 yd)
- Dec 24, 2022BUF@CHI35–13Spread BUF -8Total 40.5Penalties 11 (87 yd)48favover11 (87 yd)
- Dec 18, 2022KAN@HOU30–24Spread KAN -14Total 48.5Penalties 14 (135 yd)54dogover14 (135 yd)
- Dec 4, 2022IND@DAL19–54Spread DAL -11Total 44.5Penalties 9 (131 yd)73favover9 (131 yd)
- Nov 27, 2022CIN@TEN20–16Spread TEN 0Total 42Penalties 17 (137 yd)36dogunder17 (137 yd)
- Nov 20, 2022NYJ@NWE3–10Spread NWE -3.5Total 38Penalties 11 (70 yd)13favunder11 (70 yd)
- Nov 13, 2022NOR@PIT10–20Spread PIT -1Total 39.5Penalties 13 (114 yd)30favunder13 (114 yd)
- Nov 6, 2022SEA@ARI31–21Spread ARI -2Total 49Penalties 18 (111 yd)52dogover18 (111 yd)
- Oct 27, 2022BAL@TAM27–22Spread TAM -2Total 46.5Penalties 11 (136 yd)49dogover11 (136 yd)
FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH
Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.