Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   ·NYJ 20, BUF 10

   End of half - 9:52 pm

   +55pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q3 · 11:28·NYJ 20, BUF 23

   (11:28) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right to 89-J.Marshall to NYJ 35 for 2 yards (52-P.Brown). FUMBLES (52-P.Brown), RECOVERED by BUF-21-N.Robey-Coleman at NYJ 36. 21-N.Robey-Coleman for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +25pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:26·NYJ 3, BUF 6

   (5:26) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass deep right to 88-M.Goodwin for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught near sideline at NYJ 30. PENALTY on NYJ-91-S.Richardson, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +23pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 14:22·NYJ 20, BUF 16

   (14:22) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass deep right to 11-G.Salas for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught near sideline at NYJ 31.

   +20pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q3 · 4:36·NYJ 20, BUF 24

   (4:36) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 87-E.Decker to BUF 29 for 17 yards (29-K.Seymour, 23-A.Williams). Caught at BUF 35, crossing from right.

   +13pp

   NYJ