Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:35·DEN 30, KC 24

   (:35) (Shotgun) 25-J.Charles up the middle to KC 21 for 1 yard (54-B.Marshall). FUMBLES (54-B.Marshall), RECOVERED by DEN-29-B.Roby at KC 21. 29-B.Roby for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed.

   +57pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:40·DEN 23, KC 24

   (:40) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 10-E.Sanders for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +20pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q2 · 15:00·DEN 0, KC 0

   (15:00) 4-B.Colquitt punts 48 yards to KC 27, Center-46-A.Brewer. 13-D.Thomas to KC 31 for 4 yards (48-S.Barrett). Denver challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 4-B.Colquitt punts 48 yards to KC 27, Center-46-A.Brewer. 13-D.Thomas to KC 31 for 4 yards (16-B.Fowler). FUMBLES (16-B.Fowler), RECOVERED by DEN-51-T.Davis at KC 31. 51-T.Davis to KC 31 for no gain (35-C.West). Penalty on KC-80-J.O'Shaughnessy, Illegal Block Above the Waist, declined.

   +19pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q2 · 6:37·DEN 0, KC 13

   (6:37) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right intended for 88-D.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Peters at KC 45. 22-M.Peters for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q4 · 6:40·DEN 17, KC 17

   (6:40) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short right intended for 13-D.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 25-C.Harris at DEN 10. 25-C.Harris to DEN 30 for 20 yards (66-B.Grubbs).

   +12pp

   DEN