Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 8:24·DEN 21, KC 21

   (8:24) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 88-D.Thomas to KC 15 for 77 yards (31-M.Cooper).

   +19pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q1 · 8:57·DEN 0, KC 0

   (8:57) 11-A.Smith pass short middle intended for 80-A.Fasano INTERCEPTED by 52-W.Woodyard at DEN -7. Touchback.

   +18pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:51·DEN 35, KC 28

   (1:51) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass incomplete short left to 82-D.Bowe (20-M.Adams).

   +17pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q2 · 14:53·DEN 7, KC 13

   5-M.Prater kicks 73 yards from DEN 35 to KC -8. 34-K.Davis for 108 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q3 · 6:53·DEN 27, KC 21

   (6:53) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 87-E.Decker for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on KC-91-T.Hali, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +16pp

   DEN