Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 14:26·KC 3, DEN 7

   (14:26) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith scrambles right tackle to DEN 22 for 25 yards (26-R.Moore).

   +12pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:18·KC 17, DEN 24

   (:18) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass incomplete short middle to 82-D.Bowe (98-T.Knighton).

   +10pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:55·KC 17, DEN 24

   (:55) (Shotgun) 34-K.Davis up the middle to DEN 2 for no gain (56-N.Irving; 94-D.Ware).

   +10pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:51·KC 17, DEN 24

   (1:51) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep left to 82-D.Bowe pushed ob at DEN 9 for 21 yards (25-C.Harris).

   +10pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q1 · 14:57·KC 0, DEN 0

   (14:57) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 10-E.Sanders to KC 32 for 48 yards (31-M.Cooper).

   +9pp

   DEN