Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 5:36·KC 0, DEN 3

   (5:36) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 42-A.Sherman to DEN 16 for 2 yards (59-D.Trevathan). FUMBLES (59-D.Trevathan), RECOVERED by DEN-23-Q.Jammer at DEN 16. 23-Q.Jammer to DEN 16 for no gain (61-R.Hudson).

   +19pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q1 · 5:42·KC 0, DEN 3

   (5:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning FUMBLES (Aborted) at DEN 27, RECOVERED by KC-56-D.Johnson at DEN 29. 56-D.Johnson to DEN 18 for 11 yards (18-P.Manning).

   +18pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q1 · 4:13·KC 0, DEN 3

   (4:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 88-D.Thomas pushed ob at KC 9 for 70 yards (35-Q.Demps).

   +10pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q2 · 15:00·KC 0, DEN 10

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep right to 82-D.Bowe to DEN 14 for 26 yards (26-R.Moore).

   +6pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q2 · 8:20·KC 7, DEN 17

   (8:20) 25-J.Charles left tackle ran ob at DEN 32 for 35 yards.

   +6pp

   KAN