Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 8:34·NO 23, TB 17

   (8:34) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough scrambles left end for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q3 · 12:54·NO 7, TB 10

   (12:54) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right intended for 19-K.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 1-A.Taylor at NO 43. 1-A.Taylor to TB 47 for 10 yards (87-P.Durham).

   +17pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q3 · 10:01·NO 14, TB 10

   (10:01) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep right to 15-T.Johnson. PENALTY on NO-33-J.Sanker, Defensive Pass Interference, 28 yards, enforced at TB 35 - No Play.

   +14pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:57·NO 7, TB 10

   (:57) 24-D.Neal left guard to TB 44 for -2 yards (5-H.Reddick). TB-5-H.Reddick was injured during the play.

   +14pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:27·NO 24, TB 20

   (1:27) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 88-C.Otton to TB 29 for 3 yards (56-D.Davis).

   +13pp

   NOR