Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 10:18·NO 19, TB 19

   (10:18) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 15-J.McMillan for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +27pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q4 · 10:49·NO 19, TB 13

   (10:49) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 15-J.McMillan to NO 9 for 33 yards (0-U.Amadi). PENALTY on TB-15-J.McMillan, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at NO 9.

   +20pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q4 · 11:34·NO 19, TB 13

   (11:34) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield left end to NO 42 for -7 yards (0-U.Amadi).

   +13pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q4 · 4:15·NO 19, TB 20

   (4:15) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles up the middle to TB 40 for 28 yards (0-U.Amadi).

   +12pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q4 · 10:37·NO 19, TB 13

   (10:37) 7-B.Irving left tackle to NO 19 for 5 yards (96-C.Granderson). PENALTY on TB-67-L.Goedeke, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NO 22.

   +10pp

   NOR