Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 14:43·NYJ 7, BAL 3

   (14:43) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep right to 89-M.Andrews. PENALTY on NYJ-26-I.Oliver, Defensive Pass Interference, 34 yards, enforced at BAL 21 - No Play.

   +12pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q4 · 6:58·NYJ 10, BAL 20

   (6:58) (Shotgun) 20-B.Hall right end to BAL 2 for 10 yards (44-M.Humphrey; 41-D.Jones). FUMBLES (44-M.Humphrey), RECOVERED by BAL-12-A.Gilman at BAL 3.

   +11pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q3 · 0:41·NYJ 7, BAL 17

   (:41) (Shotgun) 2-T.Taylor pass short left to 15-A.Mitchell to BAL 24 for 26 yards (14-K.Hamilton).

   +10pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q2 · 4:09·NYJ 6, BAL 0

   (4:09) (Shotgun) 2-T.Taylor pass short left to 3-J.Metchie for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:38·NYJ 7, BAL 3

   (:38) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-T.Taylor sacked at BAL 47 for -8 yards (41-D.Jones).

   +9pp

   BAL