Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 13:32·NYJ 6, BAL 13

   (13:32) (Shotgun) 69-C.McDermott reported in as eligible. 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 82-J.Crowder for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:29·NYJ 7, BAL 21

   (:29) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep left intended for 87-D.Brown INTERCEPTED by 36-C.Clark at BAL 5. 36-C.Clark to BAL 17 for 12 yards (72-B.Shell).

   +7pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q2 · 2:00·NYJ 7, BAL 21

   (2:00) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short right to 11-Ro.Anderson (22-J.Smith).

   +6pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q2 · 15:00·NYJ 0, BAL 13

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep middle to 82-J.Crowder pushed ob at BAL 9 for 41 yards (29-E.Thomas III). Darnold completes pass on the run, avoiding pass rush.

   +6pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q1 · 5:13·NYJ 0, BAL 7

   (5:13) (Field Goal formation) 9-S.Ficken 49 yard field goal is BLOCKED (42-P.Ricard), Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-4-L.Edwards.

   +6pp

   BAL