Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 7:16·BAL 16, NYJ 14

   (7:16) 5-J.Flacco pass short left intended for 18-B.Perriman INTERCEPTED by 41-B.Skrine at NYJ 46. 41-B.Skrine pushed ob at BAL 3 for 51 yards (66-R.Jensen).

   +25pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q1 · 1:24·BAL 10, NYJ 6

   (1:24) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 81-Q.Enunwa for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q1 · 9:45·BAL 6, NYJ 0

   (9:45) (Punt formation) 4-L.Edwards FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYJ 15, RECOVERED by BAL-10-C.Moore at NYJ 0. TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q3 · 4:11·BAL 16, NYJ 17

   (4:11) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle intended for 18-B.Perriman INTERCEPTED by 21-M.Gilchrist at BAL 49. 21-M.Gilchrist ran ob at BAL 24 for 25 yards.

   +12pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q3 · 12:07·BAL 16, NYJ 14

   (12:07) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at BAL 45 for -7 yards (99-T.Jernigan).

   +12pp

   BAL