Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 0:45·TB 17, BUF 20

   (:45) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 26-Ty.Johnson for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +20pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q3 · 4:05·TB 26, BUF 24

   (4:05) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right intended for 2-E.Egbuka INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Bishop at TB 37. 24-C.Bishop to TB 25 for 12 yards (62-G.Barton).

   +18pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 10:34·TB 0, BUF 0

   (10:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle intended for 5-J.Palmer INTERCEPTED by 25-J.Parrish [0-Y.Diaby] at BUF 10. 25-J.Parrish to BUF 7 for 3 yards (1-C.Samuel).

   +15pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q3 · 11:22·TB 20, BUF 21

   (11:22) 9-R.Dixon punts 46 yards to BUF 41, Center-86-E.Deckers. 16-M.Hardman to BUF 41 for no gain (32-J.Hayes). FUMBLES (32-J.Hayes), RECOVERED by TB-81-R.Miller at BUF 43.

   +15pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q4 · 13:45·TB 32, BUF 31

   (13:45) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 44-S.Tucker for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   TAM