Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q5 · 5:42·BUF 27, TB 33

   (5:42) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 16-B.Perriman for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +54pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q5 · 8:58·BUF 27, TB 27

   (8:58) 3-M.Haack punts 63 yards to TB 6, Center-69-R.Ferguson, out of bounds.

   +30pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:04·BUF 24, TB 27

   (1:04) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 88-D.Knox to TB 15 for 24 yards (54-L.David).

   +15pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q5 · 7:00·BUF 27, TB 27

   (7:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 7-L.Fournette to TB 28 for -7 yards (49-T.Edmunds; 21-J.Poyer).

   +14pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:37·BUF 24, TB 27

   (1:37) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 11-C.Beasley to TB 40 for 15 yards (31-A.Winfield).

   +13pp

   BUF