Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 7:40·TB 3, BUF 10

   (7:40) 17-J.Allen pass short middle intended for 86-D.Kincaid INTERCEPTED by 92-W.Gholston (31-A.Winfield) at BUF 23. 92-W.Gholston to BUF 23 for no gain (60-M.Morse).

   +12pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q1 · 4:26·TB 0, BUF 3

   (4:26) 4-C.McLaughlin 50 yard field goal is BLOCKED (90-S.Lawson), Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.

   +11pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:57·TB 0, BUF 3

   (5:57) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep middle to 88-C.Otton [56-L.Floyd]. PENALTY on BUF-20-T.Rapp, Defensive Pass Interference, 21 yards, enforced at TB 39 - No Play.

   +10pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q2 · 2:46·TB 10, BUF 16

   (2:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 86-D.Kincaid for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:04·TB 18, BUF 24

   (:04) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep middle. Hail Mary fell incomplete.

   +9pp

   BUF