Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 5:54·NE 14, NO 13

   (5:54) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye Aborted. 65-G.Bradbury FUMBLES at NO 45, recovered by NE-10-D.Maye at NE 47.

   +16pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q1 · 11:03·NE 6, NO 3

   (11:03) 10-D.Maye pass deep left to 3-D.Douglas for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q4 · 8:50·NE 25, NO 19

   (8:50) (Shotgun) 2-S.Rattler pass short middle to 83-J.Johnson to 50 for 14 yards (14-R.Spillane; 53-C.Elliss). New England challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 2-S.Rattler pass short middle to 83-J.Johnson to NO 49 for 13 yards (53-C.Elliss; 14-R.Spillane). FUMBLES (53-C.Elliss), RECOVERED by NE-31-C.Woodson at NE 49.

   +13pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 14:53·NE 0, NO 0

   (14:53) (Shotgun) 2-S.Rattler pass deep right to 12-C.Olave pushed ob at NE 22 for 53 yards (23-K.Dugger).

   +11pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:40·NE 25, NO 19

   (2:40) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep left to 9-K.Boutte pushed ob at NO 49 for 21 yards (4-K.McKinstry). New England challenged the runner was out of bounds ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep left to 9-K.Boutte to NO 49 for 21 yards (4-K.McKinstry).

   +11pp

   NWE