Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:10·NO 27, NE 29

   (:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 85-K.Thompkins for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 12-Brady 342 career Pass TD, tying Fran Tarkenton for 4th in NFL history.

   +52pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 3:35·NO 23, NE 23

   (3:35) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep right to 84-K.Stills for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +29pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q4 · 2:50·NO 24, NE 23

   (2:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 17-A.Dobson.

   +17pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:20·NO 27, NE 23

   (1:20) 6-T.Morstead punts 42 yards to NE 30, Center-47-J.Drescher, out of bounds.

   +17pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:24·NO 27, NE 23

   (2:24) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right intended for 11-J.Edelman INTERCEPTED by 28-K.Lewis at NO 30. 28-K.Lewis to NO 30 for no gain. NO-97-G.Foster was injured during the play.

   +14pp

   NOR