Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 10:02·NE 7, NO 16

   (10:02) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep right to 19-D.Henderson for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 24, Catch 51

   +15pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q1 · 1:14·NE 7, NO 3

   (1:14) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 81-R.Moss INTERCEPTED by 34-M.McKenzie at NO 33. 34-M.McKenzie to NO 41 for 8 yards (33-K.Faulk).

   +13pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q1 · 0:28·NE 7, NO 3

   (:28) 23-P.Thomas left guard to NE 29 for 26 yards (31-B.Meriweather, 30-B.McGowan).

   +10pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q2 · 7:55·NE 7, NO 17

   (7:55) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 88-S.Aiken to NO 35 for 33 yards (27-M.Jenkins). Pass 19, Catch 14

   +9pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q3 · 10:24·NE 17, NO 24

   (10:24) 9-D.Brees pass deep right to 12-M.Colston to NE 6 for 68 yards (31-B.Meriweather). Pass 22, Catch 46

   +9pp

   NOR