Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 5:42·NE 12, NO 3

   (5:42) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 87-R.Gronkowski for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 17, YAC 36

   +16pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 9:47·NE 20, NO 10

   (9:47) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep right to 16-B.Coleman pushed ob at NE 18 for 42 yards (30-D.Harmon) [91-D.Wise]. Pass 20, YAC 22

   +12pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q1 · 11:36·NE 0, NO 0

   (11:36) 14-B.Cooks left end pushed ob at NO 29 for 13 yards (26-P.Williams).

   +8pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q2 · 11:56·NE 20, NO 9

   (11:56) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short left to 16-B.Coleman for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 5, YAC 0

   +7pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q2 · 2:27·NE 27, NO 13

   (2:27) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass incomplete deep right to 19-T.Ginn.

   +7pp

   NWE