Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 7:11·NO 6, NE 0

   (7:11) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short middle intended for 38-R.Stevenson INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu [96-C.Granderson] at NE 27. 32-T.Mathieu for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +20pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q1 · 5:47·NO 7, NE 0

   (5:47) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass deep left to 81-D.Douglas to NE 48 for 24 yards (23-M.Lattimore). PENALTY on NO-23-M.Lattimore, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at NE 48. New Orleans challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)

   +9pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 3:45·NO 7, NE 0

   (3:45) 37-C.Ryland 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer.

   +9pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q1 · 2:03·NO 7, NE 0

   (2:03) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 13-M.Thomas to NE 37 for 26 yards (2-J.Mills).

   +7pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q1 · 11:23·NO 0, NE 0

   (11:23) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at NO 46 for -9 yards (8-J.Bentley).

   +6pp

   NWE