Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 4:29·BUF 17, HOU 20

   (4:29) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud sacked at HOU 8 for -6 yards (94-D.Smoot). FUMBLES (94-D.Smoot), RECOVERED by BUF-42-Do.Williams at HOU 15.

   +31pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:02·BUF 20, HOU 23

   (:02) 15-K.Fairbairn 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.

   +24pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:44·BUF 20, HOU 20

   (:44) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right. PENALTY on HOU-7-C.Stroud, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at BUF 39.

   +17pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:52·BUF 20, HOU 20

   (1:52) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 33-D.Ogunbowale to BUF 44 for 11 yards (47-C.Benford).

   +16pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:33·BUF 20, HOU 20

   (2:33) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 86-D.Schultz to HOU 45 for 11 yards (31-R.Douglas).

   +15pp

   HOU