Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 13:40·BUF 10, HOU 13

   (13:40) (Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel pass short right intended for 22-F.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 99-J.Watt at HOU 20. 99-J.Watt for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +37pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:14·BUF 17, HOU 23

   (1:14) (Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel pass deep right intended for 10-R.Woods INTERCEPTED by 26-D.Morris [99-J.Watt] at HOU 15. 26-D.Morris to HOU 15 for no gain (10-R.Woods).

   +23pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q2 · 10:31·BUF 3, HOU 0

   (10:31) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left to 80-A.Johnson to BUF 36 for 4 yards (51-B.Spikes). FUMBLES (51-B.Spikes), RECOVERED by BUF-25-D.Searcy at BUF 36. 25-D.Searcy to BUF 36 for no gain (80-A.Johnson). PENALTY on HOU-76-D.Brown, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at BUF 36.

   +17pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q4 · 9:21·BUF 16, HOU 20

   (9:21) (Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel pass deep right to 19-Mi.Williams for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q3 · 15:00·BUF 10, HOU 7

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left intended for 23-A.Foster INTERCEPTED by 53-N.Bradham (95-K.Williams) at HOU 19. 53-N.Bradham to HOU 19 for no gain (88-G.Graham). BUF-53-N.Bradham was injured during the play. He is Out.

   +15pp

   BUF