Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:30·BUF 13, HOU 19

   (1:30) (Shotgun) 2-N.Peterman pass short left intended for 13-K.Benjamin INTERCEPTED by 24-J.Joseph at BUF 28. 24-J.Joseph for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on HOU-90-J.Clowney, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +45pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:06·BUF 13, HOU 10

   (2:06) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass incomplete deep left to 15-W.Fuller [99-H.Phillips]. PENALTY on BUF-28-P.Gaines, Defensive Pass Interference, 41 yards, enforced at BUF 42 - No Play. Penalty on BUF-27-T.White, Defensive Holding, declined.

   +20pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q4 · 13:07·BUF 12, HOU 10

   (13:07) (Shotgun) 2-N.Peterman pass deep right to 11-Z.Jones for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 0:53·BUF 6, HOU 10

   (:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson sacked at HOU 30 for -4 yards (sack split by 93-T.Murphy and 55-J.Hughes). FUMBLES (93-T.Murphy) [93-T.Murphy], RECOVERED by BUF-99-H.Phillips at HOU 32. 99-H.Phillips to HOU 32 for no gain (66-N.Martin).

   +17pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q1 · 7:48·BUF 0, HOU 0

   (7:48) 8-T.Daniel punts 38 yards to BUF 36, Center-46-J.Weeks. 14-R.McCloud MUFFS catch, touched at BUF 40, RECOVERED by HOU-57-B.Scarlett at BUF 29. 57-B.Scarlett to BUF 29 for no gain (18-A.Holmes).

   +16pp

   HOU