Skip to content

Back Judgealso: Alternate 119

Greg Wilson

51 games3 seasons (20232025)Recent: Week 18, 2025

Scoring

How high or low his games run

Slight Over lean: games trend a bit higher-scoring than the market expects.

% Games Over the Total

53%

+4.5pp

league 49% · 47 priced games

Avg Total Points

45.4

-0.2

league 45.6 · both teams combined

Spread Outcomes

Who covers the line in his games

Mild lean visible in spread outcomes: interesting context, not a green-light edge.

Favorites Cover %

49%

league 49% · 47 priced games

Home Teams Cover %

44%

-4.4pp

league 49% · home-vs-road tilt

Penalties & Pace

How the crew calls + paces the game

Average penalty and pace signals: no tendency stands out.

Penalties / Game

11.9

-0.7

league 12.6 · both teams combined

Plays / Game

120.2

-1.4

league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts

Penalty Yards / Game

97

-9.0

league 106

Penalties: home vs road

Home
6.0
Road
6.0

Home team gets flagged 0.4 more times than the road team (vs league -0.4).

Recent Games Worked

FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH

Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.