Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 11:37·BUF 0, KC 0

   (11:37) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left intended for 25-C.Edwards-Helaire INTERCEPTED by 57-A.Epenesa at BUF 41. 57-A.Epenesa to BUF 47 for 6 yards (15-P.Mahomes).

   +15pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 5:41·BUF 17, KC 17

   (5:41) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 11-D.Harty to KC 40 for 25 yards (27-C.Conner).

   +14pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:01·BUF 20, KC 17

   (1:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep right to 87-T.Kelce [56-L.Floyd].

   +14pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 0:38·BUF 17, KC 14

   (:38) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 4-R.Rice to KC 48 for 6 yards (47-C.Benford). FUMBLES (47-C.Benford), touched at KC 49, RECOVERED by BUF-7-Ta.Johnson at KC 48.

   +12pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:17·BUF 17, KC 17

   (2:17) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at KC 31 for -4 yards (56-G.Karlaftis). PENALTY on KC-35-Ja.Watson, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at KC 27 - No Play.

   +11pp

   BUF