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Refereealso: Alternate 51

Carl Cheffers

54 games3 seasons (20232025)Recent: Week 18, 2025

Scoring

How high or low his games run

Slight Over lean: games trend a bit higher-scoring than the market expects.

% Games Over the Total

53%

+4.5pp

league 49% · 48 priced games

Avg Total Points

45.3

-0.3

league 45.6 · both teams combined

Spread Outcomes

Who covers the line in his games

Home teams cover well above the league rate: measurable home tilt.

Favorites Cover %

53%

+4.4pp

league 49% · 48 priced games

Home Teams Cover %

58%

+9.0pp

league 49% · home-vs-road tilt

Penalties & Pace

How the crew calls + paces the game

Average penalty + pace signals overall. Flags hit the road team noticeably more.

Penalties / Game

12.0

-0.6

league 12.6 · both teams combined

Plays / Game

119.0

-2.6

league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts

Penalty Yards / Game

97

-9.0

league 106

Penalties: home vs road

Home
5.6
Road
6.4

Road team gets flagged 0.4 more times than the home team (vs league -0.4).

Recent Games Worked

FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH

Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.