Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:25·BUF 16, KC 10

   (1:25) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short right intended for 10-T.Hill INTERCEPTED by 27-T.White at BUF 27. 27-T.White to KC 10 for 63 yards (10-T.Hill).

   +18pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q3 · 3:33·BUF 16, KC 10

   (3:33) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor sacked at BUF 24 for -11 yards (49-D.Sorensen).

   +10pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q1 · 14:15·BUF 0, KC 0

   (14:15) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short middle to 25-L.McCoy to BUF 49 for 24 yards (22-M.Peters).

   +9pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q4 · 13:35·BUF 16, KC 10

   (13:35) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 87-T.Kelce. 10-T.Hill right end to KC 43 for -3 yards (90-S.Lawson).

   +9pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q1 · 4:14·BUF 0, KC 0

   (4:14) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short left to 25-L.McCoy ran ob at KC 37 for 5 yards.

   +9pp

   BUF