Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:56·BUF 24, KC 20

   (:56) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right intended for 24-S.Moore INTERCEPTED by 7-T.Johnson at KC 32. 7-T.Johnson to KC 30 for 2 yards (9-J.Smith-Schuster). The Replay Official reviewed the interception ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +28pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:09·BUF 23, KC 20

   (1:09) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 88-D.Knox for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +20pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 9:51·BUF 0, KC 0

   (9:51) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen FUMBLES (Aborted) at KC 17, touched at KC 15, RECOVERED by KC-47-D.Harris at KC 11.

   +15pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:22·BUF 9, KC 7

   (:22) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 13-G.Davis for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q2 · 11:44·BUF 3, KC 6

   (11:44) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 9-J.Smith-Schuster for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   KAN