Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:15·BUF 25, NE 28

   (:15) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right to 88-M.Gesicki for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +35pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:54·BUF 25, NE 22

   (:54) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short middle to 85-H.Henry to BUF 25 for 14 yards (20-T.Rapp) [57-A.Epenesa].

   +18pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q4 · 5:02·BUF 17, NE 22

   (5:02) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short middle to 84-K.Bourne to NE 29 for 9 yards (30-D.Jackson, 21-J.Poyer). FUMBLES (21-J.Poyer), RECOVERED by BUF-43-T.Bernard at NE 29. 43-T.Bernard to NE 29 for no gain (84-K.Bourne).

   +16pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:50·BUF 17, NE 22

   (2:50) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 86-D.Kincaid to NE 4 for 4 yards (29-J.Jackson).

   +14pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 4:56·BUF 17, NE 22

   (4:56) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 10-K.Shakir to NE 16 for 13 yards (27-M.Bryant).

   +14pp

   BUF