Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 4:55·BUF 3, NE 6

   (4:55) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short left to 25-Ma.Jones for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 11:23·BUF 0, NE 0

   (11:23) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 20-N.Hines pushed ob at NE 28 for 21 yards (55-J.Uche; 30-M.Wilson) [9-M.Judon].

   +12pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 2:34·BUF 3, NE 7

   (2:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep right to 13-G.Davis. PENALTY on NE-13-Ja.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, 22 yards, enforced at BUF 35 - No Play.

   +9pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 5:34·BUF 16, NE 7

   (5:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 13-G.Davis for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NE-13-Ja.Jones, Defensive Holding, declined.

   +8pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q2 · 15:00·BUF 9, NE 7

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   BUF