Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 0:51·BUF 3, NE 3

   (:51) 17-J.Allen right end pushed ob at NE 21 for 22 yards (30-J.McCourty). Penalty on NE-70-A.Butler, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +13pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:50·BUF 10, NE 9

   (10:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton scrambles left tackle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE-1 Newton 12th rush TD of season, ties franchise record for rush TD by a QB in a season (Grogan, 1976). NE-1 Newton 70th career rush TD, extends NFL record for rush TD by a QB (Young 54).

   +8pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 3:55·BUF 3, NE 3

   (3:55) (Punt formation) Direct snap to 46-J.Johnson. 46-J.Johnson pass short right to 33-S.Neal to BUF 48 for 13 yards (31-J.Jones).

   +8pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 8:32·BUF 10, NE 9

   (8:32) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 88-D.Knox to NE 31 for 12 yards (32-D.McCourty).

   +8pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q2 · 10:39·BUF 10, NE 9

   6-N.Folk extra point is No Good, Wide Left, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.

   +8pp

   BUF