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Down Judgealso: Alternate 113

Danny Short

54 games3 seasons (20232025)Recent: Week 18, 2025

Scoring

How high or low his games run

His games go Over the total notably more than league average.

% Games Over the Total

58%

+9.6pp

league 49% · 48 priced games

Avg Total Points

47.4

+1.8

league 45.6 · both teams combined

Spread Outcomes

Who covers the line in his games

Mild lean visible in spread outcomes: interesting context, not a green-light edge.

Favorites Cover %

49%

league 49% · 48 priced games

Home Teams Cover %

45%

-4.1pp

league 49% · home-vs-road tilt

Penalties & Pace

How the crew calls + paces the game

Average penalty + pace signals overall. Flags hit the road team noticeably more.

Penalties / Game

13.3

+0.7

league 12.6 · both teams combined

Plays / Game

119.8

-1.8

league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts

Penalty Yards / Game

107

+1.0

league 106

Penalties: home vs road

Home
6.0
Road
7.3

Road team gets flagged 0.9 more times than the home team (vs league -0.4).

Recent Games Worked

FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH

Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.