Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:46·HOU 23, DAL 26

   (:46) (Shotgun) 21-E.Elliott up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +22pp

   DAL
2. 2
   Q2 · 14:56·HOU 10, DAL 7

   (14:56) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 85-N.Brown to HOU 26 for 51 yards (5-J.Pitre). Penalty on HOU-2-T.Thomas, Defensive Holding, declined.

   +18pp

   DAL
3. 3
   Q2 · 3:21·HOU 10, DAL 14

   (3:21) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right intended for 85-N.Brown INTERCEPTED by 1-T.Smith (29-M.Stewart) at HOU 47. 1-T.Smith pushed ob at DAL 27 for 26 yards (21-E.Elliott).

   +18pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q3 · 13:19·HOU 20, DAL 17

   (13:19) 31-D.Pierce left tackle to HOU 36 for -1 yards (6-D.Wilson). FUMBLES (6-D.Wilson), RECOVERED by DAL-7-T.Diggs at HOU 45. 7-T.Diggs ran ob at HOU 28 for 17 yards (60-A.Cann).

   +17pp

   DAL
5. 5
   Q4 · 5:45·HOU 23, DAL 20

   (5:45) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right intended for 86-D.Schultz INTERCEPTED by 1-T.Smith (45-O.Okoronkwo) at DAL 11. 1-T.Smith to DAL 4 for 7 yards (86-D.Schultz).

   +16pp

   HOU