Down Judge
Robin DeLorenzo
Scoring
How high or low his games runSlight Under lean: games trend a bit lower-scoring than the market expects.
⚠ Only 16 priced games. Interpret cautiously.
% Games Over the Total
44%
-5.0ppleague 49% · 16 priced games
Avg Total Points
42.4
-3.2league 45.6 · both teams combined
Spread Outcomes
Who covers the line in his gamesHome teams cover well above the league rate: measurable home tilt.
⚠ Only 16 spread-priced games.
Favorites Cover %
50%
+1.1ppleague 49% · 16 priced games
Home Teams Cover %
56%
+7.5ppleague 49% · home-vs-road tilt
Penalties & Pace
How the crew calls + paces the gameLets-em-play crew: penalty rate runs well below league average.
⚠ Only 16 games with box stats.
Penalties / Game
9.2
-3.4league 12.6 · both teams combined
Plays / Game
122.8
+1.2league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts
Penalty Yards / Game
74
-32league 106
Penalties: home vs road
Flags split roughly evenly between home and road.
Recent Games Worked
- Jan 8, 2023NYJ@MIA6–11Spread MIA -3.5Total 37Penalties 11 (101 yd)17favunder11 (101 yd)
- Dec 25, 2022TAM@ARI19–16Spread TAM -7.5Total 41.5Penalties 11 (104 yd)35dogunder11 (104 yd)
- Dec 18, 2022NYG@WAS20–12Spread WAS -4Total 40.5Penalties 11 (70 yd)32dogunder11 (70 yd)
- Dec 11, 2022HOU@DAL23–27Spread DAL -17Total 44.5Penalties 7 (35 yd)50dogover7 (35 yd)
- Dec 4, 2022KAN@CIN24–27Spread KAN -2.5Total 53Penalties 10 (100 yd)51dogunder10 (100 yd)
- Nov 27, 2022CHI@NYJ10–31Spread NYJ -8Total 36.5Penalties 2 (15 yd)41favover2 (15 yd)
- Nov 13, 2022CLE@MIA17–39Spread MIA -3.5Total 49.5Penalties 11 (95 yd)56favover11 (95 yd)
- Nov 6, 2022LAC@ATL20–17Spread LAC -2.5Total 49.5Penalties 7 (60 yd)37favunder7 (60 yd)
- Oct 30, 2022SFO@LAR31–14Spread LAR -1Total 42.5Penalties 7 (58 yd)45dogover7 (58 yd)
- Oct 23, 2022HOU@LVR20–38Spread LVR -7Total 46Penalties 8 (58 yd)58favover8 (58 yd)
FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH
Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.