Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 3:57·KC 23, CIN 17

   (3:57) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q4 · 3:24·KC 24, CIN 27

   (3:24) 7-H.Butker 55 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.

   +15pp

   CIN
3. 3
   Q3 · 14:15·KC 10, CIN 14

   (14:15) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 11-M.Valdes-Scantling to CIN 32 for 42 yards (20-E.Apple) [91-T.Hendrickson].

   +13pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q3 · 5:45·KC 17, CIN 17

   (5:45) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 11-M.Valdes-Scantling to CIN 9 for 29 yards (21-M.Hilton) [96-C.Sample]. CIN-92-B.Hill was injured during the play.

   +12pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:51·KC 10, CIN 14

   (:51) 11-T.Taylor right end to KC 7 for -3 yards (8-C.Dunlap).

   +10pp

   KAN